Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, May 20, 2013
Gold, US Dollar Index and 3 Currency Market Forecasts / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: David_Petch
This article was posted for the benefit of subscribers on Wednesday, May 15th, 2013. I have included one Elliott Wave count of gold at the very end...it is not important to understand the wave count, just the implied direction, which should be hinted at the US Dollar Index. I was following a pattern for 5 years that changed due to one small thing that happened and was discussed for a few months now. Since it happened, it was a game changer and has important consequences for everything going forward. The Contracting Fibonacci Spiral that I discovered nearly two years ago is approaching its extended time post of May 21st, 2013 and if it extends further, the potential downside will be faster and see a compression in time for what the potential downside is. I would encourage everyone to at least read this article and try to understand the big picture, because it is one of the most important articles I have written in the past two years.
Monday, May 20, 2013
EUR/USD: Bearish Cycles Remains In Play / Currencies / Euro
By: ForexPros
The EUR/USD reversed slightly higher on Thursday from 1.2840 support but not for long. Recovery found resistance very soon, so it was probably just a fourth wave within larger wave 3 down. Our bias remains unchanged and we are looking for a weaker EUR/USD, towards 1.2800 as a next projected target, where we could see a temporary low and a wave 4 pull-back. Short-term critical level is at 1.2935, as wave four must not trade into the territory of a wave one.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 17, 2013
US Dollar Ends Another 9 Year Down Cycle / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Ashraf_Laidi
Recent rallies in Non-USD currencies resulting from poor US data have not lasted long. And those rallies resulting from strong US figures via the indirect effect of rallying equities (risk-on) have not lasted either. Broadening pro-USD sentiment may stay for longer than we had thought as the US dollar index has exited from another 9-year down cycle.
Friday, May 17, 2013
Dollar Crisis, the Coming Collapse of US Global Hegemony / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Pravda
Colin Todhunter writes: The US is bankrupt. Yet Uncle Sam continues to stride the world stage and can simply print more money to get by because the dollar is the world's reserve currency. Remove it as the reserve currency, and the US will no longer be able to remain supreme or fund its wars by relying on what would then be a worthless paper currency. Today, more than 60 percent of all foreign currency reserves in the world are in US dollars, and the US will attempt to prevent countries moving off the dollar by any means possible.
Thursday, May 16, 2013
USD/CHF: Corrective Pull-back Within Uptrend Elliott Wave Forecast / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: ForexPros
USD/CHF reversed lower yesterday from around 0.9750 which however is not a surprise if we respect the structure from 0.9242 which was clearly made in five waves, and we know that after every five waves correction follows.
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Thursday, May 16, 2013
U.S. Dollar Collapse and Japan’s Sham Currency War / Currencies / Currency War
By: Matthias_Chang
US$ dollars have been flooding the financial markets ever since Bernanke launched quantitative easing allegedly to turnaround the US economy. These huge amounts of US$ toilet paper are mainly in financial markets (and in central banks) outside of the United States. A huge chunk is represented as reserves in central banks led by China and Japan.
If truth be told, the real value of the US$ would not be more than a dime and I am being really generous here, as even toilet paper has a value.
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Wednesday, May 15, 2013
Don't Bet Against a Surging U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Money_Morning
Ben Gersten writes:
In the midst of a brewing currency war, Japan's out-of-control monetary policy has caused the yen to fall to an almost five-year low against the U.S. dollar.
With an economy one-third the size of that of the United States, Japan has committed itself to a fiscal program that's almost double the U.S. Federal Reserve's current $85- billion a month stimulus.
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Tuesday, May 14, 2013
Japanese Government Green Light to Crush Yen, How High Will U.S. Dollar Fly? / Currencies / Japanese Yen
By: Gary_Dorsch
The Wise Sages of Ancient days used to say, “The fate of a Liar, is that nobody believes him, - even when he’s speaking the truth!” Such is the predicament of Japan’s propaganda artists, including the Prime Minister, the Finance minister, and central bank chief, who are all trying to cover-up their boldest scheme yet, to crush the value of the Japanese yen, against the currencies of its major trading partners. On May 11th, the finance chiefs of the Group of Seven (G-7) gave Tokyo the green light to continue with its radical QE scheme, which has already led to a -24% devaluation of the yen against the US-dollar, and a -33% devaluation against the Euro, since market savvy traders first got wind of the plot in late November.
In an age when ruling coalitions of every political stripe distort the truth to promote their self interests, it’s hardly surprising that Japan’s ruling LDP party is steadfastly denying that it’s engaging in a “beggar thy neighbor” devaluation of its currency. By the same token, Tokyo’s fraudulent claim that its economy is still plagued by a negative rate of inflation (deflation), is so wildly at odds with reality that it’s routinely regarded with cynicism and disbelief.
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Tuesday, May 14, 2013
USD/JPY Could Be In Final Stages Of An Uptrend / Currencies / Japanese Yen
By: ForexPros
The USD/JPY broke higher last week, out of a triangle pattern that we have been tracking since mid-April. This triangle has been placed in wave four, so we must be aware of a bearish reversal in the next few days/weeks; this type of patterns always occurs prior to the final move of the larger trend. So current leg up should be our final leg; most-likely wave 5 of an ending diagonal.
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Friday, May 10, 2013
Dollarize Argentina Now / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Steve_H_Hanke
Argentina is once again wrestling with its long-time enemy, inflation. Now, it appears history may soon repeat itself, as Argentina teeters on the verge of another currency crisis.
As of Tuesday morning, the black-market exchange rate for Argentine pesos (ARS) to the U.S. dollas (USD) hit 9.87, meaning the peso’s value now sits 47.3% below the official exchange rate. This yields an implied annual inflation rate of 98.3%.
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Wednesday, May 08, 2013
Why Now's a Good Time to Invest in the Chinese Yuan Currency / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
By: Money_Morning
Ben Gersten writes: It's only a matter of time before the U.S. dollar loses its more than 50-year reign as the world's dominant reserve currency, and it will be replaced by the Chinese yuan.
From January 2012-January 2013, transactions in yuan grew 171% in value, moving the yuan ahead of the Russian ruble to 13th place in global currency payments, up from 20th last year.
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Wednesday, May 08, 2013
Currency Wars Winners and Losers / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: Axel_Merk
Who is winning the “currency wars”? Our take on the greenback, yen, sterling, euro and gold:
Wednesday, May 08, 2013
USD Index Forming A Bullish Reversal Pattern / Currencies / US Dollar
By: ForexPros
The USD index reversed higher last week from 81.32. This appears to be a first impulsive structure that is part of a larger and new bullish cycle for the dollar.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 06, 2013
The Eurozone Crisis Goes Viral / Currencies / Global Debt Crisis 2013
By: Andrew_McKillop
END OF AUSTERITY - END OF THE EURO
Oskar Lafontaine, Germany's Economy minister in 1999 when the euro was introduced, said this weekend on the parliamentary website of Germany's Left Party that Angela Merkel will "awake from her self-righteous slumber" once the deeply troubled PIIGS countries unite, possibly led by France's Francois Hollande, to wrest control of the Eurozone's crisis policy, at Germany's expense.
Thursday, May 02, 2013
GBP/USD Trying To Form Bearish Reversal / Currencies / British Pound
By: ForexPros
On cable we can count five completed waves-up in wave C that show signs of a top around 1.5606 because of the ending diagonal in wave 5, divergence on the RSI and now also accelerating price action below the trading channel, which suggests the pair is in the early stage of a minor wave (iii).
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